Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.565004 0.630033 0.700410 0.782382 0.875416 0.977933 1.099736
2025-03-16 0.456010 0.543528 0.645667 0.774284 0.932774 1.122778 1.369444
2025-03-23 0.401304 0.499790 0.620631 0.781023 0.990133 1.255987 1.623528
2025-03-30 0.354972 0.457672 0.588793 0.770341 1.018126 1.348737 1.830413
2025-04-06 0.321207 0.426550 0.565701 0.765541 1.049417 1.444666 2.048121
2025-04-13 0.284677 0.387432 0.527076 0.733884 1.037794 1.476653 2.174388
2025-04-20 0.266593 0.371560 0.518206 0.742034 1.082164 1.591493 2.434943
2025-04-27 0.251206 0.357830 0.510628 0.750444 1.126441 1.709033 2.711841
2025-05-04 0.237163 0.344666 0.502375 0.756397 1.166469 1.822617 2.994297
2025-05-11 0.223792 0.331290 0.492443 0.758335 1.199451 1.926959 3.272186
2025-05-18 0.213617 0.321892 0.487637 0.767570 1.244530 2.054913 3.606104
2025-05-25 0.198629 0.303854 0.467820 0.750342 1.242887 2.101591 3.795635
2025-06-01 0.191208 0.297518 0.466541 0.764470 1.297679 2.255231 4.211513
2025-06-08 0.180133 0.284513 0.453438 0.757262 1.313892 2.340450 4.505140
2025-06-15 0.172669 0.276874 0.448572 0.763777 1.355230 2.476248 4.918893
2025-06-22 0.162860 0.264622 0.434958 0.753366 1.363625 2.548823 5.208452
2025-06-29 0.154848 0.254897 0.424990 0.748686 1.382292 2.643202 5.557873
2025-07-06 0.143290 0.238337 0.401947 0.717816 1.346710 2.623232 5.646256
2025-07-13 0.138611 0.233549 0.399523 0.725764 1.389319 2.770194 6.142320
2025-07-20 0.134281 0.229098 0.397368 0.733965 1.433036 2.923952 6.677328
2025-07-27 0.129894 0.224266 0.394165 0.739770 1.472130 3.071576 7.219439
2025-08-03 0.125264 0.218710 0.389232 0.741659 1.502903 3.203612 7.741896
2025-08-10 0.121833 0.215169 0.387865 0.750664 1.549939 3.378187 8.404590